The 2012 Election by the Numbers

Posted on October 4, 2012. Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: , , , , , , |

By Carl Chancellor

Certainly over that last few weeks, Gov. Romney has taken a lot of grief over his secretly recorded comments regarding the 47 percent of Americans who he said “pay no income tax” and “…who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe that government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, you-name-it.”

Since Romney’s words have come to light the accuracy of that 47 percent number has been called into question. More than a few individuals and organizations make the point that the statistic is highly misleading since it ignores payroll, state, and local taxes that most Americans, be they rich or poor, pay.  More importantly for Gov. Romney, as the liberal think tank the Center for American Progress notes in a recent report, the very states that support the governor in his presidential bid — places like Alabama, Mississippi, Arkansas… – are overwhelming populated by the folks he denigrated as moochers. Which begs the question: Is attacking your constituency ever a winning strategy?

Then again Romney can find comfort in the fact that according to a Fox News poll out this week, 79 percent of Americans believe that everyone should pay federal income tax no matter how small the amount. “That includes 85 percent of Republicans, 83 percent of independents and 71 percent of Democrats,” notes Fox.

With regards to polls: The latest national polls have President Obama leading Romney.  A new Quinnipiac University poll just released has the President ahead of Romney by 4 percentage points, 49 percent to 45 percent respectively, and according to the National Journal the “results are consistent with other recent surveys showing a slender advantage for Obama prior to the first debate between the two candidates on Wednesday night.” Of greater concern for Romney, in the 11 crucial swing states the President is leading in nearly all of them, according to a National Journal survey.

Not surprisingly in this highly contentious race, the polls themselves are being attacked. Romney and the GOP claim the polls are skewed. A recent report in the Hill noted that “a plurality of Americans and more than seven in 10 Republicans say pollsters are intentionally skewing results to benefit President Obama.”

Ultimately, though, there is only one number that counts, and that’s 270 — the amount of electoral votes needed to win the presidency in November.  Whoever the eventual winner is — Obama or Romney — the number that must be of the foremost priority is 314 million — the population of the United States.  It is incumbent on our next president to forge a bold path forward that is about doing what is best for all Americans — all 100 percent of us.

Turner GPA is a leading D.C.-based national lobbying and government affairs firm dedicated to delivering cutting edge policy advocacy for the manufacturing, defense, aerospace, health and energy industries. Members of our professional policy team can be reached at (202) 466-2511. We are also on the Web at


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